The calculation
system kW = daily kWh ÷ (peak sun hours × 0.8)
panels = system watts ÷ panel watts
That 0.8 is the system loss factor, and leaving it out is the single most common way estimates come in too small.
Worked example: 900 kWh a month
Roughly the US average, in a location with 4.5 peak sun hours, using 400 W panels:
| Step | Working | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Daily consumption | 900 ÷ 30 | 30 kWh/day |
| Effective sun hours | 4.5 × 0.8 | 3.6 h |
| System size | 30 ÷ 3.6 | 8.33 kW |
| Panels at 400 W | 8,330 ÷ 400 | 21 panels |
| Roof area | 21 × 21.5 ft² | ≈ 450 ft² |
By consumption level
All at 4.5 peak sun hours, 400 W panels, 80% system efficiency:
| Monthly use | System size | Panels | Roof area |
|---|---|---|---|
| 600 kWh | 5.6 kW | 14 | 300 ft² |
| 900 kWh | 8.3 kW | 21 | 450 ft² |
| 1,200 kWh | 11.1 kW | 28 | 600 ft² |
| 1,500 kWh | 13.9 kW | 35 | 750 ft² |
Where the losses come from
Panels are rated at 25 °C in a laboratory. A roof in July is far hotter, and output falls as temperature rises — which is why a hot, sunny climate does not always beat a mild one by as much as expected.
What changes the answer most
- Peak sun hours. The biggest regional variable. Ranges from roughly 3.5 in the cloudy north to 6+ in the desert southwest — enough to change panel count by 40%.
- Roof orientation. South-facing at 30° is ideal in the northern hemisphere. East or west facing typically costs 15% to 20% of annual output.
- Shading. Partial shade on one panel can drag down a whole string unless microinverters or optimisers are used.
- Future load. An EV adds roughly 250 to 400 kWh a month. Size for the house you will have, not the one you have now.
Two related pieces: long DC runs from array to inverter need a voltage drop check, and the payback question is really an annualized return question — a 20-year payback is a very different investment from a 7-year one.
Run your own numbers
FAQ
How many solar panels does an average home need?
What are peak sun hours?
Why apply a system loss factor?
How much roof space do I need?
Do I need batteries?
Sources
Primary references used for the figures and rules on this page.
- Homeowner's Guide to Going Solar — U.S. Department of Energy
- Electric Power Monthly — U.S. Energy Information Administration