The three ways to estimate it
| You know | Calculation | Gives |
|---|---|---|
| Estimated due date | EDD − 266 days | Approximate conception date |
| Last menstrual period | LMP + 14 days | Approximate ovulation date |
| Birth date | Birth − 266 days | Rougher estimate |
Worked through with a due date of 17 October 2026:
matching an LMP of 10 Jan 2026
The two figures reconcile: 280 days from the last period, 266 from conception, with the 14-day gap being the wait for ovulation.
Why it is a window, not a date
Two separate uncertainties stack up:
- Ovulation timing. The day-14 assumption holds for a 28-day cycle. A 32-day cycle typically ovulates around day 18, moving every derived date by four days.
- Sperm survival. Sperm remain viable for up to five days, so fertilisation can occur days after intercourse. The conception date and the date of intercourse are frequently different.
Fertilisation, implantation and detection
Three separate events, days apart, which is why "when did it happen" has several possible answers:
- Fertilisation occurs within about 24 hours of ovulation. This is the conception date a calculator estimates.
- Implantation follows roughly 6 to 12 days later, when the embryo embeds in the uterine lining. Some people notice light spotting.
- Detection becomes possible once hCG rises after implantation — typically around the time of a missed period, about four weeks after the last period began.
What this cannot tell you
When the dates disagree
If a calculated conception date does not match what you expected, the usual explanation is that ovulation did not happen on day 14 — long, short or irregular cycles all shift it. An early ultrasound measures the embryo directly and is accurate to about ±5–7 days, which is better than any calendar method. Where a scan and the dates disagree by more than that, clinicians go with the scan.
This is general information rather than medical advice; your clinician's dating is the one that counts.
Related: how the due date is derived in the first place, and how the fertile window works.
Run your own numbers
FAQ
How do I calculate my conception date?
How accurate is a conception date calculator?
Is the conception date the same as the day of intercourse?
Can a conception date determine paternity?
Why does my conception date not match when I think I conceived?
Sources
Primary references used for the figures and rules on this page.
- Methods for Estimating the Due Date — ACOG
- Your Menstrual Cycle — Office on Women's Health